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Calculate the required sample size and cut-point for testing to demonstrate
population freedom from disease
using imperfect tests an allowing for small populations.
This utility uses the methods described by: Cameron and Baldock (1998):
A new probability formula for surveys to substantiate freedom from disease.
Prev. Vet. Med. 34:1-17 and Cameron (1999): Survey Toolbox for Livestock
Diseases - A practical manual and software package for active surveillance of livestock
diseases in developing countries. Australian Centre for International Agricultural
Research, Canberra, Australia.
Inputs include:
- Size of the population sampled;
- Test sensitivity and specificity;
- Design prevalence (the hypothetical prevalence to be detected).
Design prevalence can be specified as either a fixed number of elements from the
population or a proportion of the population;
- Maximum acceptable Type I (1 - population-sensitivity) and Type II (1 - population-specificity) error values for determining whether to accept/reject
the null or alternative hypothesis, assuming a null hypothesis that the popultion is diseased;
- Calculation method: hypergeometric (for small populations),
or simple binomial (for large populations);
- The population size threshold, above which the simple binomial method is used
regardless of which calculation method has been selected;
- The maximum upper limit for required sample size (must be < 100,000); and
- The desired precision of results (number of digits to be displayed after the decimal point).
The results are presented as:
- The minimum sample size and corresponding cut-point number of positives to
achieve the specified type I and type II errors for the given population, design
prevalence and test performance;
- achieved Type I and Type II error levels and corresponding population-level sensitivities
and specificities;
- A descriptive interpretation of the results; and
- an error message if the desired error levels cannot be achieved within the limits of populatuon
and/or maximum sample size.
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